St. John's South - Mount Pearl Predictions

I don't wish for the election to go anything like this, but here's how I see it panning out. Assuming 38000 Voters:

Conservative Merv Wiseman 10165 (26.75%)
Down greatly from the 16644 votes and 44.68% last go round with Loyola Hearn as the Conservative. Losses due to new untested candidate and results of ABC campaign.

Liberal Siobhan Coady 15960(42%)
Up from 12295 (33%)Siobhan will pick up most of the points lost by the Conservatives.

New Democrats Ryan Cleary 10355(27.25%)
Up significantly from 8079 (21.69%) due to the NDP having a fairly known candidate as well as losses from the conservatives and voters who were previously Conservative leaning and will not vote Liberal.

Green Ted Warren 760 (2%)
Up a little from 235 (0.63%) due to increasing populatity of Greens and success of Party Leader.

NL First Greg Byrne 456 (1.5%)
Not a strong showing due to the new party and lack of understanding of their intentions and platform.

Independent Terry C. Butler 190 (0.5%)
The rest thrown in.

Of course I'm assuming 38000 voters and I have to wonder if many voters will just give in and not give a crap when it comes down to the wire. The loudest sound in this election is voters behind the cardboard shield whispering "eenie meenie minee mo"