St. John's South - Mount Pearl Results

Conservative Merv Wiseman 4324 (12.55%) predicted: 10165 (26.75%)
Predicted a loss but this was larger than expected. Losses are likely due to ABC more so than the candidate.

Liberal Siobhan Coady 14930(43.35%) predicted: 15960(42%)
As Expected Siobhan took the trophy, picking up many of the points lost by the Conservatives.

New Democrats Ryan Cleary 13883 (40.31%) predicted: 10355(27.25%)
Siobhan may have taken the trophy but Ryan has to be the big winner. He quite nearly won this riding. The question is; were these votes Conservatives who would not vote Liberal? The Jack Harris affect? Or a show of confidence in the fighting Newfoundland Journalist? Possibly all three. An interesting result.

Green Ted Warren 643 (1.87%) predicted 760 (2%)
That's close enough for horseshoes.

NL First Greg Byrne 485 (1.41%) predicted:456 (1.5%)
Pretty well expected, the NL First has done a tremendous job to get to this point, but the work yet to do will be the most daunting.

Independent Terry C. Butler 179 (0.52%) predicted:190 (0.5%)

St. John's South - Mount Pearl Predictions

I don't wish for the election to go anything like this, but here's how I see it panning out. Assuming 38000 Voters:

Conservative Merv Wiseman 10165 (26.75%)
Down greatly from the 16644 votes and 44.68% last go round with Loyola Hearn as the Conservative. Losses due to new untested candidate and results of ABC campaign.

Liberal Siobhan Coady 15960(42%)
Up from 12295 (33%)Siobhan will pick up most of the points lost by the Conservatives.

New Democrats Ryan Cleary 10355(27.25%)
Up significantly from 8079 (21.69%) due to the NDP having a fairly known candidate as well as losses from the conservatives and voters who were previously Conservative leaning and will not vote Liberal.

Green Ted Warren 760 (2%)
Up a little from 235 (0.63%) due to increasing populatity of Greens and success of Party Leader.

NL First Greg Byrne 456 (1.5%)
Not a strong showing due to the new party and lack of understanding of their intentions and platform.

Independent Terry C. Butler 190 (0.5%)
The rest thrown in.

Of course I'm assuming 38000 voters and I have to wonder if many voters will just give in and not give a crap when it comes down to the wire. The loudest sound in this election is voters behind the cardboard shield whispering "eenie meenie minee mo"

A Monster for St. John's South - Mount Pearl

Six boxes on the ballot for St. John's South - Mount Pearl. Each of them new, each untested. I'm looking to roll a die and vote based on that.

If only we could take what we like from each candidate and press them into a Play-Dough mold and create what we really want:

Take the agricultural background of Merv Wiseman, cut the Harper out of him and throw him in.

Take the well spoken business sense of Siobhan Coady and add a dash more public appeal from the wharves of Petty Harbour.

Now we need a good honest dose of patriotism from Greg Byrne, minus that new car smell from an untested party.

To that add the heart of the Fighting Newfoundlander, Ryan Cleary minus the hypocrisy of this would be independent who now has raised the Maple Leaf above the Pink White and Green.

With these five in the pot we are left with one lonely independent, throw him in whole to help with the sauce.

Bring to a rapid boil, blend well and pour into the mold. When it is properly plimed-up and set drive a bolt through it's head - perhaps a spike from our one-time railroad and buy it a ticket to Ottawa where it will blend in and disappear like every other one we've sent. Or worse still, return with a mainland accent where we are forced to crucify it to save ourselves.