Wednesday, October 15, 2008

St. John's South - Mount Pearl Results

Conservative Merv Wiseman 4324 (12.55%) predicted: 10165 (26.75%)
Predicted a loss but this was larger than expected. Losses are likely due to ABC more so than the candidate.

Liberal Siobhan Coady 14930(43.35%) predicted: 15960(42%)
As Expected Siobhan took the trophy, picking up many of the points lost by the Conservatives.

New Democrats Ryan Cleary 13883 (40.31%) predicted: 10355(27.25%)
Siobhan may have taken the trophy but Ryan has to be the big winner. He quite nearly won this riding. The question is; were these votes Conservatives who would not vote Liberal? The Jack Harris affect? Or a show of confidence in the fighting Newfoundland Journalist? Possibly all three. An interesting result.

Green Ted Warren 643 (1.87%) predicted 760 (2%)
That's close enough for horseshoes.

NL First Greg Byrne 485 (1.41%) predicted:456 (1.5%)
Pretty well expected, the NL First has done a tremendous job to get to this point, but the work yet to do will be the most daunting.

Independent Terry C. Butler 179 (0.52%) predicted:190 (0.5%)

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

St. John's South - Mount Pearl Predictions

I don't wish for the election to go anything like this, but here's how I see it panning out. Assuming 38000 Voters:

Conservative Merv Wiseman 10165 (26.75%)
Down greatly from the 16644 votes and 44.68% last go round with Loyola Hearn as the Conservative. Losses due to new untested candidate and results of ABC campaign.

Liberal Siobhan Coady 15960(42%)
Up from 12295 (33%)Siobhan will pick up most of the points lost by the Conservatives.

New Democrats Ryan Cleary 10355(27.25%)
Up significantly from 8079 (21.69%) due to the NDP having a fairly known candidate as well as losses from the conservatives and voters who were previously Conservative leaning and will not vote Liberal.

Green Ted Warren 760 (2%)
Up a little from 235 (0.63%) due to increasing populatity of Greens and success of Party Leader.

NL First Greg Byrne 456 (1.5%)
Not a strong showing due to the new party and lack of understanding of their intentions and platform.

Independent Terry C. Butler 190 (0.5%)
The rest thrown in.

Of course I'm assuming 38000 voters and I have to wonder if many voters will just give in and not give a crap when it comes down to the wire. The loudest sound in this election is voters behind the cardboard shield whispering "eenie meenie minee mo"

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

A Monster for St. John's South - Mount Pearl

Six boxes on the ballot for St. John's South - Mount Pearl. Each of them new, each untested. I'm looking to roll a die and vote based on that.

If only we could take what we like from each candidate and press them into a Play-Dough mold and create what we really want:

Take the agricultural background of Merv Wiseman, cut the Harper out of him and throw him in.

Take the well spoken business sense of Siobhan Coady and add a dash more public appeal from the wharves of Petty Harbour.

Now we need a good honest dose of patriotism from Greg Byrne, minus that new car smell from an untested party.

To that add the heart of the Fighting Newfoundlander, Ryan Cleary minus the hypocrisy of this would be independent who now has raised the Maple Leaf above the Pink White and Green.

With these five in the pot we are left with one lonely independent, throw him in whole to help with the sauce.

Bring to a rapid boil, blend well and pour into the mold. When it is properly plimed-up and set drive a bolt through it's head - perhaps a spike from our one-time railroad and buy it a ticket to Ottawa where it will blend in and disappear like every other one we've sent. Or worse still, return with a mainland accent where we are forced to crucify it to save ourselves.

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

ABC Website Launched

A new website to support Premier Williams ABC campaign is launched. Including this rather damning Harper Brochure from 2006.

Monday, September 15, 2008

NL First Candidate for St. John's South Mount Pearl

Greg Byrne Declares in St. John's South - Mount Pearl for NL First Originally from Howley Greg's military career has seen him travel extensively throughout the world. He is a founding member of the Newfoundland and Labrador Defense League (NLDL)and has a long history of advocacy for Newfoundland and Labrador issues. Greg is very well researched and knowledgeable on a great number of issues affecting Newfoundland and Labrador. He promises to be an interesting candidate for NL First, only the second ever candidate to run federally for the party.

When we think of how the Reform Party transformed Western Canada and later became reborn into the governing party of the country it is interesting to think what a message NL First can send.

Monday, September 08, 2008

NL First Runs First Ever Federal Candidate

NL First Party .... It's Time

News Release

Bennett Declares for Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte

Pasadena NL - Wayne Bennett, recently retired from Canada's Navy, will be the NL First Party's candidate in Humber-St.Barbe-Baie Verte for the October 14th federal election. Bennett, the son of Ivy (Perry) and Ernest (the Pepsi Man) Bennett, served for some 32 years in the Navy and with the Royal Nfld Regiment.

He is the founder and CEO of WRB Enterprises Limited. WRB Enterprises Limited is in the early stages of two developments in the Howley area. The first is the consturction of a 40 bed Personal Care Home for Seniors and the second project is the development of a multi-million dollar resort and spa in the Conwical Hill area that is locally know as 'Granny's Nipple'.

When elected, Wayne will be donating his $45,000 military pension to the Royal Newfoundland Regiment for the purpose of, in concert with Senator Bill Romphey, for the erection of a caribou in Gallipoli for the 100th Anniversary in 2015.

Wayne is single and lives in Pasadena, the crown of the Humber Valley. Is actively involved in both the Pasadena community and the town of Howley, where he spent many of his early years. He is the Grand Knight of the local Knights of Columbus Archbishop McNeil Council 8555 and is actively pursing the formation of an Historical Society in Howley.


-30-
Bennett Campaign HQ
5 Broadway
Corner Brook NL
709.639.5350 (c)
wayne_bennett@nf.sympatico.ca
www.nlfirst.ca

October Reign - Rebirth

Thank's to the timing of the next Federal Election I don't even need to rename the blog this time - convenient eh!

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

What Just Happened?!

Lots of people in Newfoundland and Labrador are scratching their heads this morning. Last night I dreamed we became a dictatorship with virtually no opposition. But this morning I saw a headline that said “Tory Tsunami – 43 Seats”. What the...?!

Commentators are asking, is this the end of the great Liberal Party in Newfoundland and Labrador?

Ah don’t be so melodramatic boy. It’s like this: Do you remember as a teenager getting hassled for trying to get the car keys? But then there was that special evening, perhaps your dad was having a few, maybe he was just in a particularly good mood. Whatever the case you remember that he threw you the car keys and said, “fill your boots.”

So we’ve thrown Danny the keys without having to have his baby brother in the passenger seat. No odds. But by’ Jeeze if you brings her back to me with a ding in the fender your arse will be redder than a Liberal’s face on October 10.

On the other hand if it comes back to us a little cleaner and with a full tank of gas, God Love Ya we might just cut you a key.
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